Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 6.590411 7.224756 7.910324 8.709187 9.618105 10.624292 11.828258
2026-02-01 5.648576 6.479499 7.433810 8.620756 10.071269 11.804326 14.059341
2026-02-08 5.047669 5.965401 7.062964 8.490337 10.324575 12.640752 15.850274
2026-02-15 4.586182 5.546142 6.730997 8.327429 10.464225 13.289180 17.419558
2026-02-22 4.268106 5.264452 6.528243 8.284868 10.723355 14.085061 19.253214
2026-03-01 3.919424 4.909641 6.192936 8.021521 10.635927 14.366694 20.349731
2026-03-08 3.581473 4.542206 5.809032 7.651022 10.349436 14.312788 20.901592
2026-03-15 3.367830 4.325297 5.610314 7.518084 10.384574 14.724983 22.224798
2026-03-22 3.411508 4.458886 5.899828 8.103271 11.536943 16.973086 26.924998
2026-03-29 3.323138 4.400635 5.910863 8.272767 12.058371 18.265154 30.168499
2026-04-05 3.144082 4.202362 5.705453 8.094489 12.002635 18.577618 31.634548
2026-04-12 3.059026 4.134159 5.685595 8.200006 12.416944 19.740680 34.935801
2026-04-19 2.908375 3.966471 5.513444 8.061627 12.425617 20.212886 36.995816
2026-04-26 2.780942 3.826964 5.376299 7.970141 12.507261 20.830845 39.493429
2026-05-03 2.658175 3.687853 5.231049 7.853162 12.529879 21.333774 41.827349
2026-05-10 2.538133 3.546957 5.074939 7.706118 12.482815 21.690751 43.889139
2026-05-17 2.451149 3.452514 4.986747 7.667697 12.630985 22.455803 47.104333
2026-05-24 2.327470 3.295780 4.790954 7.429813 12.381130 22.363733 48.118921
2026-05-31 2.191240 3.114379 4.547558 7.094714 11.919287 21.773655 47.712874
2026-06-07 2.107367 3.012300 4.429035 6.974352 11.866886 22.066165 49.782023
2026-06-14 2.156304 3.122426 4.664120 7.503685 13.151576 25.506274 61.765155
2026-06-21 2.130067 3.110099 4.693308 7.656771 13.684944 27.302941 69.443850
2026-06-28 2.048660 3.004722 4.559563 7.495750 13.542880 27.451196 71.805711